Us Senator
Likely voters (LV)
5 individual polls. Rows are ordered by field end date; points are not connected.
Hallie Shoffner
Jeff Wadlin
Tom Cotton
Tom Cotton 58%
Hallie Shoffner 36%
Tom Cotton 51%
Hallie Shoffner 35%
Jeff Wadlin 4%
Hallie Shoffner 40%
Tom Cotton 51%
Jeff Wadlin 4%
Tom Cotton 50%
Hallie Shoffner 41%
Jeff Wadlin 5%
Tom Cotton 55%
Hallie Shoffner 39%
Jeff Wadlin 4%
View this chart as an accessible table
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Answer | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 to Feb 9, 2026 | GrayHouse | 550 | Tom Cotton | 58% | Original ↗ |
| Feb 7, 2026 to Feb 9, 2026 | GrayHouse | 550 | Hallie Shoffner | 36% | Original ↗ |
| Aug 14, 2026 to Aug 18, 2026 | J.L. Partners | 803 | Tom Cotton | 51% | Original ↗ |
| Aug 14, 2026 to Aug 18, 2026 | J.L. Partners | 803 | Hallie Shoffner | 35% | Original ↗ |
| Aug 14, 2026 to Aug 18, 2026 | J.L. Partners | 803 | Jeff Wadlin | 4% | Original ↗ |
| Sep 30, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026 | Grayhouse | 550 | Hallie Shoffner | 40% | Original ↗ |
| Sep 30, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026 | Grayhouse | 550 | Tom Cotton | 51% | Original ↗ |
| Sep 30, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026 | Grayhouse | 550 | Jeff Wadlin | 4% | Original ↗ |
| Oct 8, 2026 to Oct 13, 2026 | Hendrix College | 709 | Tom Cotton | 50% | Original ↗ |
| Oct 8, 2026 to Oct 13, 2026 | Hendrix College | 709 | Hallie Shoffner | 41% | Original ↗ |
| Oct 8, 2026 to Oct 13, 2026 | Hendrix College | 709 | Jeff Wadlin | 5% | Original ↗ |
| Oct 27, 2026 to Oct 28, 2026 | GrayHouse | 509 | Tom Cotton | 55% | Original ↗ |
| Oct 27, 2026 to Oct 28, 2026 | GrayHouse | 509 | Hallie Shoffner | 39% | Original ↗ |
| Oct 27, 2026 to Oct 28, 2026 | GrayHouse | 509 | Jeff Wadlin | 4% | Original ↗ |