Us Representative
Likely voters (LV)
3 individual polls. Rows are ordered by field end date; points are not connected.
Cait Conley
Dem
Mike Lawler
Rep
Rep 39%
Dem 44%
Cait Conley 51%
Mike Lawler 45%
Cait Conley 45%
Mike Lawler 50%
View this chart as an accessible table
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Answer | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 to Feb 17, 2026 | Impact Research | 500 | Rep | 39% | Original ↗ |
| Feb 9, 2026 to Feb 17, 2026 | Impact Research | 500 | Dem | 44% | Original ↗ |
| Jun 27, 2026 to Jul 1, 2026 | FM3 Research | 509 | Cait Conley | 51% | Original ↗ |
| Jun 27, 2026 to Jul 1, 2026 | FM3 Research | 509 | Mike Lawler | 45% | Original ↗ |
| Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 22, 2026 | co/efficient | 1,292 | Cait Conley | 45% | Original ↗ |
| Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 22, 2026 | co/efficient | 1,292 | Mike Lawler | 50% | Original ↗ |